Effects of space warfare12/21/2023 Work must begin on legal and diplomatic frameworks now. Clever commercial applications will be only a few years behind. As space-launch costs continue to plummet, the military is already conceiving the use of space ports for thirty-minute transportation to any point on Earth. First, this paper considers point-to-point transportation around the Earth transiting space. The United States can develop plans for space now in a way that enables it to benefit later.Ĭrucially, the authors of this strategy paper take on two developments in space that require deep thinking now because of their impact in coming decades. Not only will commercial firms be crucial to developing the technologies that will define space activity, but there will also, by 2050, be a range of profit-making activities in space that one can only begin to imagine today. Finally, the legal, security, and physical architectures that the United States develops over the coming decades must explore opportunities for the commercial sector to plug in, or even take over, elements. An attack in outer space could have devastating consequences on Earth, and no ally should be left without support because existing treaties do not yet fully recognize the consequences of space attacks. New alliances-and existing ones-need to step up their commitments to security in outer space. The authors call for a new coalition of the willing to push back on recent destabilizing Russian and Chinese activities in space. They make a compelling case to replace the 1967 Outer Space Treaty with a new, foundational space treaty that addresses the security and commercial realities of space in the twenty-first century. The authors call for an overhaul of the body of international law governing space. The ambitions of this strategy paper are bold enough to merit such a timeframe. That is why the authors of this strategy paper call for the United States, in concert with its allies and partners, to implement a thirty-year strategy for space. ![]() Even more so than many domains on Earth, security and prosperity in space depend on long-term technology developments. Economic prosperity on Earth increasingly depends on data transmitted through space. The security of assets in space will have a defining impact on future terrestrial conflicts. Security and prosperity in space are too important to life on Earth, and too sensitive to long-term trends, to address with short-term strategies. Some national strategies are designed to endure for a few years, a single administration at most-but such an approach will not suffice for outer space.
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